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Announcements and Recent Analysis

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  • DRC, Afghanistan, and Egypt at Highest Risk for Mass Killing

    The Democratic Republic of Congo, Afghanistan, and Egypt top the list of countries most likely to experience a new mass killing in 2018 or 2019, according to a new forecast released by the Museum's Early Warning Project. The report’s release coincided with the launch of the project’s new website, including interactive data tools, accessible reports, and data files.

  • Atrocity Risk in Congo Increases as Elections Near

    The Early Warning Project’s multi-method approach suggests that there is an urgent need to analyze and respond to risks of future mass atrocities in the DRC. In particular, Congo-watchers should think critically about how the upcoming election, and its outcome, might exacerbate atrocity risks throughout the country.

  • Museum Determines Genocide Committed in Burma against the Rohingya

    The Rohingya are a Muslim minority group in Burma who have faced a long history of severe discrimination and persecution, including the denial of citizenship and repeated violence at the hands of Burmese authorities. On December 3, 2018, the Museum announced it has found compelling evidence that Burma’s military perpetrated genocide against the Rohingya.

  • Early Warning Project to Release its 2018-2019 Risk Assessment: New Website & Refined Methodology

    This fall, the Simon-Skjodt Center will release the Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment for 2018-2019, which ranks countries based on their risk for new episodes of mass killing. Using state-of-the-art quantitative and qualitative methods and a wide range of publicly available data, the Early Warning Project is a first-of-its-kind public early warning system for mass atrocities. The project aims to provide governments, civil society groups, and other influential actors with early and reliable warnings of mass atrocities and, as a result, greater opportunities to take preventive action

  • Religious Freedom Promotion as a Tool for Atrocity Prevention

    From July 24-26, the US Department of State hosted the first-ever Ministerial to Advance International Religious Freedom. The Museum's Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide participated in a panel discussion and the Museum hosted opening and closing events. This post explores the nexus between international religious freedom and atrocity prevention.

  • State of the World: Mass Killing in 2017

    The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast where new mass killing episodes are most likely to happen in the future. Each year we update our list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for onsets of mass killing in 2017 and those episodes that we can now judge have ended.