To help us forecast atrocity risk in 2018, please participate in our annual wiki survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method that presents countries head-to-head and simply asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2017.
Bangladesh has made considerable social and economic progress in recent years, but sharp divisions between major political parties, past violence around the 2014 election, increased authoritarianism, impunity for security forces, localized patronage politics, and exceptionally high stakes for the coming election indicate a threat of violence that could reach a greater scale than in the past.
The report finds crimes against humanity, ethnic cleansing, and mounting evidence of genocide against the Rohingya minority in Burma.
Ambassador Nikki Haley discusses the crisis in South Sudan, what she witnessed on her recent trip to the region, and what needs to be done put an end to the violence and bring peace to the world's newest nation.
The recent coup in Zimbabwe indicates an increase in the country's risk of mass killing, according to the Good Judgment Open opinion pool run by the Early Warning Project of the Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide and Dartmouth College’s Dickey Center for International Understanding.
In recent months, international officials and humanitarian groups have begun to sound the alarm about resurgent violence and the risk of further mass atrocities in the Central African Republic.
Simon-Skjodt Center staff briefs the House Foreign Affairs Asia and Pacific subcommittee about crimes perpetrated against the Rohingya, resulting in the flight of more than 400,000 from Burma in the last month.
In April 2017 the Early Warning Project launched a new set of questions through a public opinion pool to crowdsource questions on atrocity risk around the world. Since then, 317 participants have cast 7025 forecasts in response to questions asking about mass killing risk in 16 countries that the project has identified as high risk. The Good Judgment Project, an online forecasting platform, aggregates the individual forecasts from both experts and amateur volunteers to alert EWP of evolving risk of large-scale violence against civilians.
In April 2017 the Early Warning Project launched a new set of questions through a public opinion pool to crowdsource questions on atrocity risk around the world. Since then, 317 participants have cast 7,025 forecasts in response to questions asking about mass killing risk in 16 countries that the project has identified as high risk.
Escalated attacks against Rohingya civilians in Burma present a new urgency for protecting civilians and dismantling systems of violence against minorities.
Find information on historical cases of genocide and other atrocities.
